Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.236460 0.279374 0.325157 0.377357 0.434951 0.496290 0.566291
2024-10-20 0.175277 0.232269 0.297527 0.376664 0.468938 0.572096 0.695092
2024-10-27 0.137320 0.203172 0.283683 0.386715 0.512482 0.658588 0.838706
2024-11-03 0.109854 0.181180 0.273991 0.398663 0.556971 0.746840 0.987282
2024-11-10 0.088659 0.163014 0.265774 0.410098 0.599856 0.833738 1.136623
2024-11-17 0.067018 0.139557 0.246694 0.404356 0.619065 0.890863 1.250479
2024-11-24 0.053179 0.124792 0.237247 0.409655 0.651535 0.964542 1.385907
2024-12-01 0.039924 0.107644 0.221506 0.403825 0.667530 1.016376 1.494033
2024-12-08 0.028060 0.089460 0.201121 0.388566 0.668497 1.047240 1.574754
2024-12-15 0.022429 0.081953 0.196977 0.396905 0.702365 1.122188 1.713807
2024-12-22 0.015960 0.070163 0.183417 0.388846 0.711344 1.162782 1.807584
2024-12-29 0.013631 0.067743 0.186514 0.407563 0.760164 1.258996 1.976999
2025-01-05 0.009919 0.060041 0.178632 0.407817 0.781831 1.318909 2.100303
2025-01-12 0.007191 0.053741 0.172455 0.410252 0.806607 1.383550 2.231098
2025-01-19 0.005628 0.050519 0.172203 0.422862 0.847435 1.471795 2.395619
2025-01-26 0.004426 0.047887 0.172779 0.436770 0.890496 1.563851 2.566555
2025-02-02 0.003412 0.045260 0.172907 0.449685 0.932158 1.654475 2.736652
2025-02-09 0.002073 0.039190 0.163615 0.444027 0.943179 1.700104 2.844177
2025-02-16 0.001384 0.035888 0.160576 0.449951 0.973130 1.773970 2.992198
2025-02-23 0.000718 0.030890 0.151905 0.443905 0.982580 1.817100 3.096917
2025-03-02 0.000248 0.024970 0.138928 0.427730 0.973808 1.832109 3.161202
2025-03-09 0.000128 0.023236 0.138100 0.436688 1.008346 1.913349 3.321481
2025-03-16 0.000025 0.019425 0.129490 0.428126 1.011749 1.946605 3.412494